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Heavy Rainfall Forecast for Cumbria this weekend

Alert message sent 11/02/2022 19:20:00

Information sent on behalf of The Environment Agency

Good evening

This is an information message from Environment Agency as regards current Met Office forecasts of some persistent and heavy rainfall for Cumbria over tomorrow, Saturday 12th February 2022 with potentially another frontal band of rain following on during the first half of Sunday 13th February 2022.

At the start of this weekend an active jet stream will drive a series of low-pressure systems across the country heralding another change in the weather. Frontal rain and strengthening winds are expected to spread into Cumbria through the early hours of Saturday, lasting through most of the day, before clearing early evening. Rain associated with the frontal band will be persistent and heavy at times, especially over high ground of the Lake District Fells and Pennines and some localised flooding impacts may just be possible. After a drier period over Saturday night a further band of persistent rain may spread back north-eastwards across all of northern England during the early hours and through Sunday morning, turning lighter and more intermittent for the second half of the day.
A small number of Flood Alerts for parts of the county are possible during tomorrow and an isolated Flood Warning later tomorrow afternoon/early evening cannot be entirely discounted as rivers and lakes respond. Some issues are also possible on Sunday from a further band of rain but currently there is a lot of uncertainty in the track of this second frontal system. Currently the high ground of Cumbria is again forecast to see some further rainfall. Our river catchments have wetted up to some degree following the rainfall that fell over the previous weekend but a relatively dry January has given some capacity to help mitigate impacts during the course of Saturday and Sunday.  
Low-lying properties in areas not protected by Flood Defences in flood prone locations will be most at risk as some minor localised issues are still possible. Surface water on roads and/or drainage capacity being exceeded or blocked may also contribute to issues throughout tomorrow and again on Sunday.

We are monitoring the situation closely and our Duty Team has been liaising with the Emergency Services, Councils, Highways, Utility companies and other key responders. Our Field Operations teams have also been out on the ground proactively cleaning grids, debris screens on watercourses and checking our defences in advance of this forecast rainfall.

Be flood ready. It is important that you are prepared for flooding and we encourage you to take 3 simple steps:- 
  1. Sign up to Flood Warning Service to receive free flood warnings 
  2. Know what to do when a flood warning is issued.  We encourage you have a personal flood plan for you and your family 
  3. Keep an eye on the situation.  You can view a 5 day weather forecast and monitor river levels online at https://flood-warning-information.service.gov.uk/ and www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/ 

 Further information is available on our website www.gov.uk/flood or by ringing Floodline on 0345 988 1188 

 *Please note that this messaging system is not routinely monitored.  If you would like to respond to this message please e-mail CLfloodresilience@environment-agency.gov.uk 
Stay safe and remain flood aware.

Environment Agency, Flood Warning Duty Officer, Cumbria

Message sent by
David Snaith (Environment Agency, Flood Resilience Officer: PP and Community Engagement, Cumbria)

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